Market Regime Detection for Indian Markets
AI identifies if the market is in a Bull, Bear, or Ranging phase using institutional flows, breadth, and momentum · Updated daily
Why Market Regime Matters
The same stock can behave very differently in a bull market vs a bear market. Regime detection tells you what kind of market you're in — so you can adjust your strategy accordingly.
In a bull regime, momentum strategies work well. In a bear regime, defensive positions and cash preservation matter more. In a ranging market, mean-reversion approaches outperform. Knowing the regime is the first step to smarter investing.
Use the Regime Before You Pick Stocks
The detailed playbook lives in this market regime guide. It shows when to lean into leaders, when to stay selective, and when protecting capital matters more than being active.
After checking the regime, move to the convergence scanner or review the FII/DII guide to see whether flows are confirming the tape.
Bull Market
Strong uptrend confirmed by institutional buying and expanding breadth
FII net buyers consistently
Advance-decline ratio > 1.5
Nifty above 50-DMA and 200-DMA
High delivery volume on up-days
Sector rotation showing leadership
Bear Market
Sustained downtrend with institutional selling and narrowing breadth
FII net sellers persistently
Advance-decline ratio < 0.7
Nifty below 50-DMA and 200-DMA
Defensive sectors outperforming
VIX elevated above 20
Ranging Market
Sideways consolidation with mixed signals and rotational activity
FII flows mixed / choppy
Advance-decline ratio ~1.0
Nifty between 50-DMA and 200-DMA
Sector rotation rapid / unclear
Low conviction across indicators
How the AI Detects Market Regime
1
Institutional Flow Analysis
Net FII and DII buying/selling trends over 5, 10, and 20-day windows. Persistent institutional buying signals bull; persistent selling signals bear.
2
Market Breadth Indicators
Advance-decline ratio, percentage of stocks above 50-DMA, new highs vs new lows. Expanding breadth = bull, contracting = bear.
3
Momentum & Trend
Nifty position relative to key moving averages, RSI levels, and MACD alignment across indices and sectors.
4
Volatility Analysis
India VIX levels and VIX trend direction. Rising VIX with falling prices = bear intensification. Low VIX with rising prices = complacent bull.
5
Sector Rotation (RRG)
Relative Rotation Graph analysis showing which sectors are in Leading, Weakening, Lagging, or Improving quadrants. Clear leadership = trend; rapid rotation = ranging.
6
Delivery Volume Patterns
High delivery on up-moves indicates genuine accumulation (bull). High delivery on down-moves indicates distribution (bear).
What You Get
📊 Daily Regime Call
Current regime label (BULL / BEAR / RANGING) with confidence percentage and regime duration count.
📈 Regime History
Visual timeline showing regime transitions over the past year. See how long each phase lasted.
⚡ Transition Alerts
Get notified when the AI detects a regime shift. Early warning before the market changes character.
🎯 Strategy Suggestions
Regime-adaptive suggestions: which signal types work best in the current phase and how to position.
See Today's Market Regime
Free access to the current regime call. Upgrade for regime history, transition alerts, and strategy recommendations.
Check Market Regime →
Frequently Asked Questions
How often is the regime updated?
The regime detection runs daily after market close (~6 PM IST). Intraday regime shifts are rare but are flagged for paid subscribers when they occur.
How accurate is regime detection?
Regime detection is not a prediction — it's a classification of current conditions. The model uses multiple confirming factors to reduce false signals. Historically, regime transitions are detected within 2-3 days of the actual shift.
Does regime apply to individual stocks?
The primary regime call is for the broad market (Nifty 500 universe). Individual stocks may be in a different regime than the market. Sector-level regime calls are available for paid subscribers.
Can I get regime data via API?
Yes — the
/v1/market-regime endpoint returns the current regime, confidence, duration, and contributing factors. See our
Developer API documentation.
Disclaimer: Market regime detection is an AI-generated classification for educational purposes. It is not a trading signal or investment recommendation. Market conditions can change rapidly and regime detection may lag actual shifts. Always do your own research and consult a SEBI-registered advisor.
